February 14, 2020-Trump's Week
First, with the almost unanimous vote of Republican senators he was found "not guilty" of committing high crimes and misdemeanors.
He immediately took off on an exoneration tour to bask in the regard of his most fervent followers. The crowds at his rallies were standing room only.
The stock market, his favorite economic barometer, reached record levels.
Also last week there was the jobs report. 225,000 new jobs were created, 65,000 more than expected. He took credit for this (though he doesn't deserve it--what we are experiencing is the ongoing extension of the Obama recovery) and used the good news to underscore how we are beneficiaries of the "best economy in history." (Also, not true).
And he delivered a politically effective State of the Union address, almost sounding like a normal president.
Even his approval ratings (perpetually stuck in the low 40s) crept up a bit. Just a bit.
Gullible (or craven) Republican senators such as Susan Collins claimed that impeachment would chasten him. As a result, they said he will change, become more "presidential."
We see already how that is working out.
Also during the week it appeared that Joe Biden's campaign was collapsing. So Trump could see that his blackmailing Ukraine was working out.
Just as everything seemed to be going his way, three days ago, the credible Quinnipiac Poll published a spate of findings that was full of bad news for Trump.
From all the good news Tump was expecting a bump up in his favorabilities. As Bill Clinton did. Perhaps in a poll or two he would enter 50 percent land.
But the opposite happened.
Of the Q Poll results the one that must have been most frustrating to him were the numbers from the head-to-head comparisons between him and each of his main rivals.
He "lost" to each of them. A few, widely--
Bloomberg topped Trump by 51 to 42 percent.
Sanders beat Trump by 8 points, 51 to 43.
Biden won 50 to 43.
Klobuchar prevailed by 49 to 43 percent.
Warren led by 4 points, 48 to 44 percent.
And Buttigieg won narrowly, 47 to 43 percent.
These numbers I am certain will shift when the results of the New Hampshire primary are factored in--Klobuchar, for example, will pick up at least a percent or two and Warren will continue to slip. None of this is good news for Trump. It shows the deep desire of people to see him voted out of office.
So, it's time for us to emerge from our fear and malaise and get on with our efforts to build on this. We're just at the beginning of the process. Our very country is at stake.
Labels: 2020 Democratic Race, Amy Klobuchar, Head to Head Poll Numbers, Mike Bloomberg, Pete Buttigieg, Quinnipiac Poll, State of the Union, Susan Collins
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