Tuesday, February 17, 2015

February 17, 2015--Have It Our Way

Two major food companies last week released financial statements about earnings for the fourth quarter of 2014. Kellogg and McDonalds.

Both failed to meet expectations, with McDonalds reporting a significant and on-going decline in "customer visits," earnings, and profits. Speculation about both--for the most part confirmed by the companies as they scramble to turn things around--is that they are losing customers because people are seeking healthier food. And there are healthier fast-food alternatives to Mickey D's at places such as Chipolte, Chick-fil-A, and, if you must have a burger, Shake Shack.

McDonalds saw customer visits during the quarter decline by 1.7% and, more ominous, earnings decline by 21%. The third quarter was even worse with visits down 3.3%.

In response, they are launching an ad campaign, featuring a new slogan--"I'm Lovin' It." And employees are being made to wear new, lighter-feeling uniforms. Reportedly, they hate both. Especially the "lovin'" part.

Recognizing that much of this decline is the result of Americans becoming health conscious, McDonalds is experimenting with "custom burgers" (in other words, "Have it your way")  and eliminating some items, including quarter-pounders with cheese. A cholesterol nightmare.

For my money, they could get rid of the quarter-pounder altogether. The burger itself may start out weighing a quarter of a pound, but during the cooking, after all the fat runs out, it looks more like the sliver of a burger one gets at White Castle. If you want something resembling a burger that weights a quarter pound, head for Shake Shack. Though, as a guilty treat, McDonalds still does make some mean fries.

Meanwhile, over at Kellogg, the world's largest supplier of cereal, the picture isn't much brighter. There sales too have been plummeting. Fourth-quarter earnings were down an astonishing $293 million. Even after adjusting for currency fluctuations and accounting maneuvers, the company self-reports great concern. Like McDonalds, they too are scrambling to make modifications in their product lines. And for some of the same reasons.

CEO John Bryant cited weakness in sales of even Kellogg's "healthy" cereals, including  in the Special K line. He observed that consumers are shifting away from products that claim to be "diet" foods and are opting more and more for what executives in the industry call "functional foods." Those with fewer, simpler ingredients that do not include genetically-modified grains. So Kellogg accordingly is moving quickly to modify its breakfast cereals, Kashi brand, and snack foods.

As counter evidence that Americans are adjusting their diets for reasons other than health, Coca Cola continues to lose market share with bottled water, energy drinks, and coffee becoming beverages of choice for younger consumers. (The average age of Coke drinkers is 56.) It is obviously good to be moving away from drinks that are loaded with corn syrup, but becoming addicted to caffeine is not the ideal alternative.


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Friday, November 15, 2013

November 15, 2013--Midcoast: Bill In A Swivet

Bill came in all agitated.

"What's the matter?" Ken asked.

"Did you see this?" He thrust his newspaper toward us. He was fuming. I thought maybe there was bad news from the Middle East or something terrible happened up in Augusta. He's very political and ordinarily responds passionately to the news of the day.

"I'm not seeing what's got under your skin."

"Me neither," I chimed in.

"The story about Coca Cola. Not really about Coke." He pulled the paper back. "About the soda business. About what's going on with them."

"With them?" Ken was puzzled. "Let me take a look."  Bill handed the paper back to him and tapped on the page where the article was that had him all in a swivet.

"About how they're selling about as much water now as soda?" Ken read from the headline.

"That's my point," Bill said to Ken. "Terrible. Terrible."

"I really don't see why that's so terrible. You yourself never drink Cokes or Pepsis."

"That's not my point."

"What is it then?" I asked.

"That they, or anyone, would make money selling water. Water." He shook his head for emphasis.

"That's what got you so riled up?" his close friend Ken said, trying to calm him down.

"You know me," he looked toward me, the one liberal at the table, "I believe in making a profit. That's part of the magic of America. Business. The profit motive. All those good things. But from water? That I can't believe."

"True," I said, "it basically costs them nothing--the water's free--and they put it in a two-cent bottle, spend another two cents, if that, shippin' it, and then sell it for 99 cents. That's what I call making a profit!"

"I'm OK with those numbers," Bill said. "Again, starting businesses, inventing things is part of what made America great; but no one should make a profit from water."

Ken said, "They make almost as much selling soda. How much do you think the syrup costs? Again, maybe two cents a bottle. And they charge more than for water. So, I'm not seeing--"

"At least the syrup is something they concocted and have to manufacture. Water just comes out of a well or the tap."

"We do," I said, "pay tax on water both here in Maine and in New York."

"You know what I think about government in general and taxes," no need for Bill to remind me of that, "But the tax on water is to pay for the cost of getting it to you and making sure it's safe to drink. The town here and the city don't make a profit from it."

"Fair point," I conceded.

"But that's not what's upsetting me."

"What is it then?" Ken asked.

"You and I are getting on in years but have pretty good memories of the way things used to be."

"You can include me in that," I said.

"We still have a few years on you--"

"Just a few," Ken teased me.

"And we remember, don't we Ken, when it was illegal to charge for water."

"Illegal?" I was confused.

"Illegal indeed. If someone came up to your door and asked for a drink of water--and people actually did that back then--you had to give them a glass and you weren't allowed to charge them anything. Not that anyone would; but making it illegal was another way of saying that if someone was down and out, down on his luck, it was our responsibility to help them. Including with a glass of water."

"But the water they sell," I suggested, "is in the supermarket to people who don't want to drink tap water."

"Probably true for most," Bill conceded, "But by putting a price on it, marking it up so much, turns it into something other than being necessary to life."

"And as an opportunity to do good to strangers," Ken said. "Now I get your point."

"Me too," I added. "One more thing--what would happen if someone showed up at your door and asked for a glass of water and while you were getting it for him he smelling a homemade pie coming out of the oven and--"

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Wednesday, June 26, 2013

June 26, 2013--Aisle 3

To stock up, Hannaford supermarket is our go-to place in Maine.

When we open the house for the season, we need to buy everything from Pellegrino water to Hellmann's mayo to Dijon, Guldens, French's, Chinese, and Bavarian mustards to olives to beer to yogurt to orange juice to butter to . . . You get the picture.

What we typically do is start at the produce section and begin to load up the first of two shopping carts with onions, garlic, potatoes, lemons and other staples. We then proceed to work our way up and down every aisle until both carts are overflowing with pasta, tomato sauce, napkins, paper towels, toilet paper, and pretzels.

We need to do this because over the winter we leave nothing in the house for varmints who love pretzels and especially to gnaw on paper towels.

Pretzels, are found in aisle 3, one side of which is devoted to them and chips and such while the other is completely stocked with sodas and other sugary non-carbonated beverages.

This is Maine where land is plentiful and so your typical Hannafords is huge by New York City standards and each aisle is at least 50 yards long. So, the other day, finding ourselves in one of these endless aisles, surrounded on both sides by snack foods and soda was overwhelming. Fifty feet of snack foods? Another 50 of soft drinks?

"Was this aisle always so full of this stuff?" I asked no one in particular. "I seem to remember last year that pretzels and potato chips took up much less space."

"I think you're right," Rona said, "this tremendous expansion of munchies probably reflects the fact the the population here is getting younger and snack foods and soda are staples for many young people."

"And people are probably getting poorer; and as anyone who notices knows, low-income people, when they can, treat themselves to these kind of eating pleasures."

Pleasures such as--

Pringles Snack Stack Originals
Act II Butter Lovers Popcorn
Act II Movie Theater Butter Popcorn
Akmak Armenian Cracker Bread
Andy Capp's Cheddar Fries
Andy Capp's Hot Fries
Annie's Cheddar Bunny Crackers
Annie's Original Bunny Snack Mix
Austin's Toasted Peanut Butter Crackers
Bachman's Baked Jax
Baked Crunchy Cheetos
Baked Tostitos Scoop Tortilla Chips

And on the other side of the aisle, opposite the chips--

Diet Right Tangerine Soda
Sunkist Orange Soda
Crush orange Soda
Dr. Pepper
Polar Diet Pomegranate Soda
Schweppes Club Soda
A&W Root Beer
A&W Diet Cream Soda
My Essentials Peach Soda

And then the Cokes--

Coke Classic
Diet Coke
Cherry Coke
Caffeine Free Coke
Diet Caffeine Free Coke
Coca-Cola Zero
Coca Coal Cherry Zero
Coca Cola Vanilla Zero
Diet Coke Zero
Diet Coke With Splenda
Diet Coke Lime

While I was making the list and moaning about what has became of America, Rona said, "Look at this." She was pointing at one of our bulging shopping carts.

"What are you looking at?"

"The mustards."

"What about the mustard?"

"How many do we have?"

"Dijon and Guldens. We use them all the time."

"Five mustards. We have five mustards and you're making a big deal about Coca Cola?"

"Touché," I said, "And while we're in aisle 3," I added sheepishly, "we do need some Caffeine Free Diet Coke."

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